Climate > Technical Papers on Future Scenarios

Technical Papers on Future Scenarios

Users of climate scenarios need to be familiar with the methods used to develop the scenarios and the assumptions underlying the scenario development. We invite you to read the technical papers that we have published on the methodology used to produce the scenario ensembles for the Pileus Project.

Journal Articles and Conference Proceedings that Describe the Methodology
Used to Develop the Climate Scenarios

The journal articles where the methodology for the temperature scenarios was first published are:

The following journal article highlights possible changes in temperature parameters relevant for specialized agriculture based on scenarios from earlier GCMs:

A conference paper that describes the uncertainty associated with local climates scenarios is:

Several manuscripts on the development of the precipitation scenarios are currently in preparation and will be included here when completed.