SkiTool Usercases
What are Probability Forecasts and What Do They Mean? - slide 1
Every forecast has some uncertainty associated with it. Even a forecast for tomorrow’s high temperature – even when its stated as…”tomorrow’s high temperature will be 78 F…” is not actually issued with 100% confidence. A probablistic forecast then, as opposed to a deterministic forecast, simply quantifies the uncertainty with which a forecast is issued.