Tourism > What are Probability Forecasts and What Do They Mean? - slide 3

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What are Probability Forecasts and What Do They Mean? - slide 3

In the red probability forecast, there is a 90% probability that the high temperature will be 78 F but a 5% chance that it will be 77 F or 79 F. In the blue probability forecast, there is less than a 20% chance the high temperature will be 78 F and the range of possible temperatures spreads from 74 F to 82 F.

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